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London Prime Property: Prices Rise but Market Stalemate Deepens

 

Market Insight

London Prime Property Market: Q2 2025 — Prices Up, Urgency Down

London’s prime market delivered a nuanced Q2: headline prices moved higher, yet sales activity remained subdued and buyers continued to negotiate. At the top end, super-prime deals persisted — but at steeper discounts — while a surge in listings is testing the market’s capacity to absorb new stock.

Quarter-on-quarter price change
+7.4%
Average prime price level now 2.3% above Q2 2024 and 4.1% below peak.
Average buyer discount
8.7%
77% of sales completed below asking; 38.3% reduced guide price first.
Sales volumes
−15.5% YoY
And 9.7% below the 10-year average; 826 properties under offer at Q2 end (lowest spring since 2021).
Super-prime (£10m+)
+10% vs 10-yr avg
But average discount c. 19.5%; activity led by Knightsbridge & Belgravia, Mayfair & St James’s.
Supply
+11% YoY
New listings in Q2 up 40% vs 10-year average, adding pressure to pricing.

Pricing: Outer Prime Leads, Central Value Persists

Outer-prime areas — notably Hammersmith & Chiswick, and Wimbledon/Richmond/Putney/Barnes — drove quarterly gains. Meanwhile, pockets of prime central still offer value relative to peak levels, with Knightsbridge & Belgravia more than 20% below peak and Chelsea 17.2% below.

Takeaway: Price growth is not uniform. Family-led outer prime has momentum; select prime-central postcodes still price below previous highs, offering strategic entry points.

Buyer Power: Negotiations Remain Central

Buyers are still negotiating firmly, averaging an 8.7% discount. Central London shows the largest concessions (c. 17.7% in Mayfair & St James’s; 12.5% in Knightsbridge & Belgravia), while competition suppresses discounts in outer-prime (c. 2.1% in Battersea/Clapham/Wandsworth; 4.5% in Wimbledon/Richmond/Putney/Barnes).

Short-/medium-term investors face stamp duty up to 19%, nudging many toward renting. Higher-budget buyers tend to operate on 10-year horizons, supporting selective demand despite fiscal headwinds.

Activity & Liquidity: The Urgency Isn’t There

Transactions fell 15.5% year-on-year and sit 9.7% below the 10-year average. Just 826 properties were under offer at the end of Q2 — the lowest spring market reading since 2021 — underscoring a buyer-seller stalemate.

Supply Surge: A New Test for Pricing

Stock on the open market is 11% higher than a year ago, and new Q2 listings are 40% above the 10-year average. Drivers include landlords exiting ahead of the Renters’ Rights Bill, higher council tax on second homes, and delayed selling plans returning post-election/budget.

What it means: More choice for buyers increases pricing sensitivity on second-hand (non-new-build) listings. Expect wider outcomes: best-in-class homes still compete; compromised stock may need re-pricing to transact.

Super-Prime: Resilient but Highly Negotiated

£10m+ sales remain 10% above the 10-year average, concentrated in Knightsbridge & Belgravia and Mayfair & St James’s. However, the average discount around 19.5% reflects disciplined, value-driven bidding at the top end.

Guidance for Sellers & Buyers

  • Price for today’s market. Benchmark against live, competing stock and recent negotiated outcomes — not just last quarter’s uplifts.
  • Pre-market preparation pays. Presentation, photography, and collateral sharpen differentiation as supply rises.
  • Expect negotiation. Build realistic concession ranges into your strategy; move decisively when serious buyers emerge.
  • Targeted micro-market strategy. Outer-prime momentum vs. prime-central value requires postcode-level tactics.
  • For buyers: Focus on quality and fundamentals; be ready to act in competitive outer-prime, and negotiate thoughtfully in central value zones.

Thinking of selling or acquiring in London prime?

Blackmore Global advises across prime and super-prime London — from pricing and presentation to negotiation and deal management. Get in touch for a confidential discussion and a postcode-level briefing tailored to your goals.

Source: Coutts London Prime Property Index — Q2 2025

 

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We offer a wide range of luxury properties, including villas, penthouses, waterfront estates, historic residences, and investment opportunities worldwide.

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